Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 480 LANDED 10:55 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

9K 480 · BOS → SLK

took off 9:27 AM ET · landed 10:55 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at SLK more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SLK that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Arrivals into SLK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLK (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 480 · BOS → SLK

Odds over time