Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 397 LANDED 1:55 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

9X 397 · IAD → BFD

took off 12:40 PM ET · landed 1:55 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BFD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Arrivals into BFD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BFD (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 397 · IAD → BFD

Odds over time