Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 801
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
9X 801 · IPL → LAX
departs 6:11 AM PT · arrives 7:43 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 7%
Fri 10/30 6%
Sat 10/31 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave IPL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IPL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IPL (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.