Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1213 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AA 1213 · BWI → DFW

took off 7:38 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:21 PM ET → 9:59 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1213 · BWI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?