AA 1535 · DFW → LGA

took off 3:08 PM CT · landed 7:10 PM ET (scheduled 1:24 PM CT → 6:02 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1535 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?