AA 1592 · ORD → LAS

took off 7:39 AM CT · landed 9:08 AM PT (scheduled 6:49 AM CT → 8:49 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1592 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?