Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1858SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AA 1858 · LAS → BUF
departs 9:44 AM PT · arrives 5:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
23%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.