tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1873 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 1873 · SLC → ORD

took off 5:43 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:22 PM MT → 9:41 PM CT)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.