tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 195 · LHR → PHX

departs 10:05 AM GMT · arrives 2:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 17h after departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.