AA 402 · DFW → PHL

took off 11:31 AM CT · landed 3:08 PM ET (scheduled 10:50 AM CT → 3:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 402 · DFW → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?