Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 558 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

took off 6:40 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:25 PM CT → 7:07 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?