AA 9786 · DFW → AUS

took off 6:09 AM CT · landed 6:41 AM CT (scheduled 6:24 AM CT → 7:48 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9786 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?