Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1021 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AC 1021 · FLL → YYZ

departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 2:04 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt forecast at FLL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1021 · FLL → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?