Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1073 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AC 1073 · YUL → DEN

departs 8:15 AM EDT · arrives 10:16 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1073 · YUL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?