tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AC 1501 · EWR → YYZ

departs 6:36 AM ET · arrives 8:09 AM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.