tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1504 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AC 1504 · YYZ → EWR

departs 12:00 PM EDT · arrives 1:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.