tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 757 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AC 757 · YUL → SFO

departs 8:10 AM EDT · arrives 11:14 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.