Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 758 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Today

AC 758 · SFO → YUL

departs 11:36 AM PT · arrives 7:47 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at SFO that day

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 758 · SFO → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?