Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 766 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AC 766 · YYZ → BOS

departs 8:10 AM EDT · arrives 10:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8am departures from YYZ are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 766 · YYZ → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?