Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 378 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AF 378 · CDG → DTW

departs 4:05 PM CET · arrives 7:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DTW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 378 · CDG → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?