Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 6741 LANDED 8:57 PM CET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

AF 6741 · ORD → CDG

took off 7:57 AM CT · landed 8:57 PM CET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ 7am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CDG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 6741 · ORD → CDG

Odds over time