Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1430 LANDED 2:26 PM CST, ~8 MIN LATE
Today

AS 1430 · SEA → PVR

took off 8:57 AM PT · landed 2:26 PM CST (scheduled 8:40 AM PT → 2:25 PM CST)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to PVR?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.