AS 715 · HNL → SLC

took off 12:40 PM HT · landed 10:12 PM MT (scheduled 12:12 PM HT → 10:06 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 715 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?