tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 821 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AS 821 · SEA → HNL

took off 1:09 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 1:08 PM PT → 4:06 PM HT)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HNL?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.