Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 853 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AS 853 · SEA → HNL

departs 9:05 AM PT · arrives 12:19 PM HT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HNL?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.