tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 190 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AV 190 · MDE → FLL

departs 1:00 PM -05 · arrives 5:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to FLL?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.