AV 37 · FLL → BOG

took off 3:25 PM ET · landed 5:39 PM -05 (scheduled 3:14 PM ET → 6:03 PM -05)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 39 kt forecast at FLL that day

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOG

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

BOG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 37 · FLL → BOG

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOG?