Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ITA AIRWAYS · FLIGHT AZ 640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AZ 640 · FCO → SFO

departs 9:34 AM CET · arrives 2:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.