Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2860
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
B6 2860 · FLL → BDL
departs 6:56 AM ET · arrives 10:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 9%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 37 kt forecast at FLL that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from FLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.