Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
B6 577 · FLL → SFO
departs 6:02 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 17h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 17%
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 10%
Sat 10/31 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 37 kt forecast at FLL that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from FLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.