B6 8508 · MCO → SJU

took off 7:26 AM ET · landed 9:54 AM AT (scheduled 6:57 AM ET → 10:04 AM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 8508 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?