Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 291 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

BA 291 · LHR → IAD

departs 2:00 PM GMT · arrives 6:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 291 · LHR → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?