Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 53 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

BA 53 · LHR → SEA

departs 9:50 AM GMT · arrives 12:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from LHR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 53 · LHR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?