tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

EVA AIR · FLIGHT BR 56 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

BR 56 · TPE → ORD

took off 8:28 PM CST · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:01 PM CST → 8:21 PM CT)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.