Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2728 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

DL 2728 · SLC → AUS

took off 6:32 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:45 PM MT → 9:30 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at SLC that day

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2728 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?