DL 2994 · DTW → JAX

took off 3:33 PM ET · landed 5:26 PM ET (scheduled 3:02 PM ET → 5:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JAX at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2994 · DTW → JAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAX?