tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 541 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Today

DL 541 · SEA → IAD

took off 3:14 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 2:47 PM PT → 10:53 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.