EK 201 · DXB → JFK

took off 9:01 AM +04 · landed 2:54 PM ET (scheduled 8:31 AM +04 → 2:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DXB

Weather at each end

DXB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 201 · DXB → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?