Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1402
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
F9 1402 · DEN → BNA
departs 7:56 AM MT · arrives 11:32 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 26%
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29 34%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.37 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.