F9 3566 · DEN → DTW

took off 11:16 AM MT · landed 3:33 PM ET (scheduled 10:37 AM MT → 3:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

DTW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3566 · DEN → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?