Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2115 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

G4 2115 · SBN → FLL

took off 7:56 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:49 PM ET → 10:42 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2115 · SBN → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?