Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2144
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
G4 2144 · GSP → FLL
departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 5:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 39 kt forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GSP (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.