G4 2 · LAS → GRR

took off 7:23 AM PT · landed 1:29 PM ET (scheduled 7:09 AM PT → 1:54 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GRR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into GRR at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2 · LAS → GRR

Odds over time

How late did it get to GRR?