Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
G4 484 · FLL → TYS
departs 4:52 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Thu 10/29 33%
Sun 11/1 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 39 kt forecast at FLL that day
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.