Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
G4 490 · TYS → FLL
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.