Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 361 LANDED 4:52 PM ET, ~57 MIN LATE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

IB 361 · MAD → IAD

took off 1:17 PM CET · landed 4:52 PM ET (scheduled 12:20 PM CET → 3:59 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at IAD that day

Weather at each end

MAD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

IB 361 · MAD → IAD

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAD?