Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8126 LANDED 6:02 AM ET, ~2032 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

JJ 8126 · GRU → MCO

took off · landed 6:02 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GRU (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8126 · GRU → MCO

Odds over time