Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8165 LANDED 8:32 PM -03, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

JJ 8165 · BOS → GRU

took off 10:32 AM ET · landed 8:32 PM -03 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRU (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8165 · BOS → GRU

Odds over time