Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 593 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Today

KG 593 · AIA → BFF

departs 6:30 PM MT · arrives 7:07 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BFF more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BFF?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BFF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into BFF at that hour are usually not late

↓ BFF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.39 in

BFF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 593 · AIA → BFF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BFF?