LH 412 · MUC → EWR

took off 4:53 PM CET · landed 8:16 PM ET (scheduled 4:11 PM CET → 7:56 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 412 · MUC → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?